VantagePoint : Crude Oil Trade - Traditional Trendline Break Vs. VantagePoint's Predicted Moving Average Crossover

PhD Tested

The Face Off : Crude Oil Crossover

Basic strategy: Enter on the open the day after an indication

Traditional

(Trendline break)

VantagePoint

(Predicted Moving Average Crossover w/ other indicator clues)

Long around $78 a barrel on trendline break
Big share of upmove off the low over; miss out on $6 a barrel ($6,000) of profit in extended rally
Trendline drawing subjective
No precise entry/exit points with trendline techniques

Long around $72 a barrel on predicted medium-term (blue line) crossover
Bullish crossover supported by (2) neural index at 1.00, (3) predicted differences crossover and pointing up
Positioned for runaway uptrend
Long for additional $6 a barrel ($6,000) profit vs. trendline breakout method

Customer Videos

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* VantagePoint’s accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrow’s typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday’s typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday. The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades. VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used. For more detailed information, please read our important disclaimer and software license agreement.